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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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the problem is, though, you still have the recent poll, a harvard poll has obama leading men romney by 90 percentage points in tat age demographic and 18-29. these are your classic case obama's zombies. barack obama, is campaigning in his actual policies are going to make it a lot harder for young peopleo find jobs and pay up this enormous debt and is sitting on our doorstep. yet there will still cast a vote by and large for barack obama in today's. gerri: you look at the way he campaigns. here is money for you, money for you, student loans, free birth control demand for you, i'm going to give you, you know -- >> foods stamps or immigration documents. >> had is that sense to you. >> i think it sounds awful. i personally would not be sucked into voting for him just because of that. i think the point is that young people aren't enthusiastic about in. what matters is turnout. and i think romney does not have to when the end people, all of the and people. all he has to do is reduce the margin by which obama won them in 2008 which will be that big of a problem because of the fact that peopl
the problem is, though, you still have the recent poll, a harvard poll has obama leading men romney by 90 percentage points in tat age demographic and 18-29. these are your classic case obama's zombies. barack obama, is campaigning in his actual policies are going to make it a lot harder for young peopleo find jobs and pay up this enormous debt and is sitting on our doorstep. yet there will still cast a vote by and large for barack obama in today's. gerri: you look at the way he campaigns. here...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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gerri: we have a gallup tracking poll with fromhe leading obama 51-46%. and yet in the desperation that we are talking about, you alluded to it, but we did not say it. the comment from the president about romney calling him of the answer. now he used the word. the president used the word. >> the president of the united states. gerri: what does that tell you? >> what is interesting about all of these, what they're showing is that the debates, a lot of independents like to present less having seen him in the three debates wreas a lot of independents like mitt romney much more. the washington post-abc poll, 47-10 for romney liking him more rather than less. for obama it was 17-26 liking him less rather than more. so the debates did not serve the president well, and he continues down this path. it's kind of inexplicable. gerri: i want to play some sound from all right who i think some of the prlem. voters passe >> college graduates should not have to live out their 20's and their child to bed rooms staring out at fading obama posters and wondering when they c
gerri: we have a gallup tracking poll with fromhe leading obama 51-46%. and yet in the desperation that we are talking about, you alluded to it, but we did not say it. the comment from the president about romney calling him of the answer. now he used the word. the president used the word. >> the president of the united states. gerri: what does that tell you? >> what is interesting about all of these, what they're showing is that the debates, a lot of independents like to present...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWSW
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people feel better about the future, which is what obama needs to win. >> the real clear average of polls. people have poll united states but this is the average of the ten latest polls. nationally. 47.4, to 47.7. >> they're tied, plus one or national polls. >> they are even. a margin of error. even race. as you said. tight race. i agree, that the economic judgment is baked in. the romney campaign thesis is economy is bad enough to beat president obama. the obama campaign is we can discredit romney enough to drag president obama past the finish line though the economy is bad. i have been nervous about the proposition that you can depend on the economy. but romney seems to be convinced of it. he gave a closing argument speech and it was about the economic policy. he didn't mention national security. he should say we deserve the answers on what happened on benghazi an white house, what you did and don't do. >> it's late. had he done it in the third debate it would have been a tie breaker. had it done in last week with revelations on fox, that would have been important. but to do it on satur
people feel better about the future, which is what obama needs to win. >> the real clear average of polls. people have poll united states but this is the average of the ten latest polls. nationally. 47.4, to 47.7. >> they're tied, plus one or national polls. >> they are even. a margin of error. even race. as you said. tight race. i agree, that the economic judgment is baked in. the romney campaign thesis is economy is bad enough to beat president obama. the obama campaign is...
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believe one ahea whd to the polls? former economic advisor to george h. w.ush and karen, an advisor to president obama and former ambassador to the organization of economic cooperation and development. welcome to you both. with this move people who are on the fence? >> no. anybody on the fence understands the u.s. economy is weak. sure, you can say 7.9% unemployment is an improvement. i can't even say that is an improvement. the obama administration pledged they would drop down upon the great 5.4%. that certainly didn't happen. i'm curious as voters look at the newspapers tomorrow will the newspapers tell the truth that in this report touted as being positive wages went down. hourly earnings went down, hours worked went down. this is really a sad commentary if we have to interpret this somehow positively. gerri: clearly we have a long ways to go, wants yoto hear something the president said today on the campaign trail and respond. here is the president. >> 2008 we were in the middle of two wars. today our businesses ha
believe one ahea whd to the polls? former economic advisor to george h. w.ush and karen, an advisor to president obama and former ambassador to the organization of economic cooperation and development. welcome to you both. with this move people who are on the fence? >> no. anybody on the fence understands the u.s. economy is weak. sure, you can say 7.9% unemployment is an improvement. i can't even say that is an improvement. the obama administration pledged they would drop down upon the...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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obama just a little bit shy of that, 13. virtually identical. the polls are virtually tied in the battleground states and nationally and the get-out-the-vote race seems to be as well. shep? >> shepard: carl cameron on the campaign trail tonight. we are getting a brand new picture of our economy in several new reports just days before the election. some clarity and details next. and the former president of penn state university now faces new charges in the child rape scandal. from the journalists of fox news, this is a thursday fox report. [ male announcer ] wouldn't it be cool if you could combine the capability of a pathfinder with the comfort of a sedan and create a next-gen s.u.v. with best-in-class fuel economy of 26 miles per gallon, highway, and best-in-class passenger roominess? yeah, that would be cool. introducing the all-new nissan pathfinder. it's our most innovative pathfinder ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ to bring you a low-priced medicare prescription drug plan. ♪ with a low national plan premium... ♪ ...and copays
obama just a little bit shy of that, 13. virtually identical. the polls are virtually tied in the battleground states and nationally and the get-out-the-vote race seems to be as well. shep? >> shepard: carl cameron on the campaign trail tonight. we are getting a brand new picture of our economy in several new reports just days before the election. some clarity and details next. and the former president of penn state university now faces new charges in the child rape scandal. from the...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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i'm not sure the same could be said for mitt romney or president obama. in an event like this where a number of states could be looking very, very tough weather conditions that would make it difficult to get to the polls, whose voters are more jaed to ensure they do? >> the biggest enthusiasm gap we've seen is one from 2008 for president obama compared to that now for president obama. the economy's not doing well, voters reagent to that, and so you're beginning to see roars -- reports of the republican enthuse yam. when i was in school, teachers used to tell us you got to pray, cross your fingers for rain so all the elderly folks don't vote against the school budget because they don't have kids in the school anymore. neil: on the noti, it's a given -- being political correct here, the stor could benefit romney more than the president. we'll see how it goes. i see the logic to it. what do people do in states who can't vote. extend voting hours? is this a vote extending into november 7th? it's mess ri; right? >> it could get messy. it would be a state-by-st
i'm not sure the same could be said for mitt romney or president obama. in an event like this where a number of states could be looking very, very tough weather conditions that would make it difficult to get to the polls, whose voters are more jaed to ensure they do? >> the biggest enthusiasm gap we've seen is one from 2008 for president obama compared to that now for president obama. the economy's not doing well, voters reagent to that, and so you're beginning to see roars -- reports of...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what is happening to the eastern seaboard. it's gone farther west on the hurricane and inflicted blizzard. but politically, is this something that is to the advantage of the president. can they actually move a point or two? >> i think first, it froze the race. there has not been a lot of movement. the media has been focused on sandy and less on the presidential campaign. second of all, think it's going to affect, it can affect turnout but most places like new jersey and new york. i'm not sure it's going to have an effect. on the other hand t
most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what...
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this is a ba sign forpresident obama, and we see it reflected in the polls as well. if you take a look, allup says 15 percent of the people had voted early. they were breaking for romney by 52-46. this week to reports 19 percent of those surveyed said they had vod. a break for romney by 50-43. obama won the early vote last time around, according to puke, by 19 points or was winning at this point by 19 points and now he's losing it by seven. that is more than enough to flip the election. lou: two things, if we can go back to your board, immediately apparent command one is that there is a 5-4 margin if i read correctly, democrats over republicans in the early vote in 2008 that ratio was over two times -- two times. >> almost two to one. and we are talking here about less than a 5-4 margin. we are talking about 98,000 difference on the base, and this number will ctinue to grow. there will be probably, the republicans are probably going to narrow that gap between the two to somewhere around 85 or 90,000 votes. and i repeat, on election day is a starkly that republicans h
this is a ba sign forpresident obama, and we see it reflected in the polls as well. if you take a look, allup says 15 percent of the people had voted early. they were breaking for romney by 52-46. this week to reports 19 percent of those surveyed said they had vod. a break for romney by 50-43. obama won the early vote last time around, according to puke, by 19 points or was winning at this point by 19 points and now he's losing it by seven. that is more than enough to flip the election. lou:...
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with that said, some concern in the polls for the campaign. then seen in the seven surveys in the last two days, of ohio that shows that it's still a margin race within the margin of error, but mr. obama is with a slight lead with and that margin so the romney campaign has begun looking at expanding the battlefield where the playing field to make you will, by going after states like minnesota and michigan and pennsylvania, states that have been in the blue column for many, many weeks just as the polls tighten up in the debate nationwide, it was a battleground state that seems to have taken a little longer, but in those three states it's also a margin race. the romney campaign spending money trying to provide additional discussions to get to the 270 needed electoral college votes in order to win. very, very tight. confidence and optimism. when republicans will have to get to the polls come tuesday. neil: i know it's hard to hear there. i understand if you can't. are they concerned that maybe the storm to make it had been a helluva lot worse. ob
with that said, some concern in the polls for the campaign. then seen in the seven surveys in the last two days, of ohio that shows that it's still a margin race within the margin of error, but mr. obama is with a slight lead with and that margin so the romney campaign has begun looking at expanding the battlefield where the playing field to make you will, by going after states like minnesota and michigan and pennsylvania, states that have been in the blue column for many, many weeks just as...
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obama at 46% shows he is slipping into underdog status as we spak. gerri: the me show you another, as long as you're talking polls, we have one, the national average. and obama is at 47%. i did he'd. gretchen, you know, here is what i don't understand. i thought that people made up their mind as the campaign progressed, but it seems that most people, like you, who are expert watchers of this campaign say lots of people change their mind right up to voting day. >> to we had seen that in the past. we have had some people who did not even make up their minds until election day. i think this eltion, you have seen a lot of people make up their minds early this election will come down to the few people who make up their minds over the course of the past weekend coming into the next few days. president obama has done with this hurricane is acted presidential, taking care of business. people don't look at one event but past history and the past four years. he has not always displayed that same type. he is not even saving as from the fiscal cliff reroute the
obama at 46% shows he is slipping into underdog status as we spak. gerri: the me show you another, as long as you're talking polls, we have one, the national average. and obama is at 47%. i did he'd. gretchen, you know, here is what i don't understand. i thought that people made up their mind as the campaign progressed, but it seems that most people, like you, who are expert watchers of this campaign say lots of people change their mind right up to voting day. >> to we had seen that in...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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five days until americans go to the polls, your voice, your vote. and tonight, our brand new abc news/"washington post" poll shows this. the president with a one-point edge. he also got a big helpful endorsement today and i want to bring in "good morning america" co-anchor, anchor of "this week," george stephanopoulos. >> reporter: that's right. mayor michael bloomberg had criticized president obama in the past, said he was not going to endorse, today, he said he's endorsing the president because he believes he's best positioned to lead on the issue of climate change, which the mayor believes had an impact on this hurricane. that comes on top of that praise from governor chris christie, the republican governor of new jersey yesterday and the poll you cited shows that nearly 8 out of 10 americans think the president has done a good job handling this hurricane. >> what about the voters who are worried they're not going to be able to vote because of this storm? >> reporter: action is being taken already. governor christie of new jersey has said that ab
five days until americans go to the polls, your voice, your vote. and tonight, our brand new abc news/"washington post" poll shows this. the president with a one-point edge. he also got a big helpful endorsement today and i want to bring in "good morning america" co-anchor, anchor of "this week," george stephanopoulos. >> reporter: that's right. mayor michael bloomberg had criticized president obama in the past, said he was not going to endorse, today, he...
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obama's director of research says polls don't matter. i have been fooled. in 1980 everyone missed the reagan landslide. can accurately predict? once go to scott rassman said. polls are trashed all the time. >> of course, . they are trashed by the team that is losing. you cannot trust them or be have secretive permission. we are shocked when a poll gets it wrong. in 2008 the entire industry missed hillary clinton winning in new hampshire because those don't happen. john: nawaz looking for poll mistakes. i was looking. >> 1948 if i was not around. john: how do you sample? >> the theory is called 1,000 and the numbers at random. but we don't do that began shafted place more erred calls in california and wyoming because of population. whites answer more than non-whites. women answer more than men. even then you have to wait the sample to make sure you have the right mix. john: how do do that? >> it is from the statistics course we know we have 52 percent of women in this day we want to make sure the sample matches. john: criticism. you favor republicans. "time"
obama's director of research says polls don't matter. i have been fooled. in 1980 everyone missed the reagan landslide. can accurately predict? once go to scott rassman said. polls are trashed all the time. >> of course, . they are trashed by the team that is losing. you cannot trust them or be have secretive permission. we are shocked when a poll gets it wrong. in 2008 the entire industry missed hillary clinton winning in new hampshire because those don't happen. john: nawaz looking for...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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be passing obama. he probably still does. look at the national poll. you cannot, if gallup is anywhere near right. gallup has him up six. say he is up three. you can't win national election by three points and lose in the electoral college. this is uncon zeable. if you win in popular vote you lose electoral in the year 2000 the margin is fraction of fraction of fraction of 1% of one state if florida. the national polls they are disconnected, you can't have a disconnect that large between the national and electoral college. >> i find ohio numbers hard to believe. if it is tight, obama only needs to win by one point. there is dismisssiveness about what i'll say but it's true, the ground game is vastly superior romney has in ohio, add a cupm of points to any poll. >> does this change it? >> the storm? no. i don't think so. in the situation, i think that you have to remember from the date obama got elected, obama for america has been building campaign targeted campaign. >> bret: thank you very much. next up, what the administration said, what it knew about
be passing obama. he probably still does. look at the national poll. you cannot, if gallup is anywhere near right. gallup has him up six. say he is up three. you can't win national election by three points and lose in the electoral college. this is uncon zeable. if you win in popular vote you lose electoral in the year 2000 the margin is fraction of fraction of fraction of 1% of one state if florida. the national polls they are disconnected, you can't have a disconnect that large between the...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has momentum and who doesn't, it's a momentum game. >> number two, the break for gore and it was barely -- and the real break happened in democratic senate races. >> it's interesting, going back to 1984, very quickly, the difference in that break and obviously we were still in diapers back then -- >> i was out of diapers. maybe i shouldn't have been. >> veg began appeared to have the confidence and appeared to be the incumbent. >> i've had romney people admit to me they have to have some momentum. they believe it's a point in turnout. that's why they
obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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the real clear politics average for latest polls barack obama 50% to romney 45%. but boy, you hear the republicans talk about it. it seems closer than that. >> yeah, if mitt romney wins wisconsin by half a point he will be glad he picked punish ryan as the running mate. but it's a tough lift for republicans. they have had the string of victory, huge victory in 2010. a big recall victory that got ryan on the ticket. they're very organized, the republican base is motivated in wisconsin. but they are fighting a lot of history. this is the only state among the top nine battleground that voted democratic six elections in a row. obama won it by 14 points last time around. so there is a scramble for wisconsin, president obama will be here three times in the final week of the electio election. romney will be back tomorrow. is iit is his first visit since august. that is one question lurking here, you know, republicans senseed some mixed signals about their confidence in wisconsin. they have not flooded the zone here with the candidates the way george w. bush did in 2004.
the real clear politics average for latest polls barack obama 50% to romney 45%. but boy, you hear the republicans talk about it. it seems closer than that. >> yeah, if mitt romney wins wisconsin by half a point he will be glad he picked punish ryan as the running mate. but it's a tough lift for republicans. they have had the string of victory, huge victory in 2010. a big recall victory that got ryan on the ticket. they're very organized, the republican base is motivated in wisconsin. but...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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was gaining momentum but it stopped poll clamor and all talk. i think that helped president. on the other hand, mitt romney had more on the ground time in ohio, the crucial state and has been able to shake more hands and meet more voters directly in the buckeye state. neil: you mentioned this appearance tomorrow with governor chris christie. i'm sure not governor's intention to praise the president to point that many say he hurt the republican nominee mitt romney. but governor kristy looking out for -- chris christie said he is looking out for the folks in his state. commending speediness of support for new jersey. you have that image of them, touring a lot of the areas, atlantic city, maybe, some of the really hard hit areas, that will be an indelible image. >> there is nothing you can do about it, governor chris christie has done the right thing, and barack obama is president, you do not' to overdue the praise. but, i mean, you are right, a photo of barack obama with governor chris christie goes a long way. he is liked by a lot of independents
was gaining momentum but it stopped poll clamor and all talk. i think that helped president. on the other hand, mitt romney had more on the ground time in ohio, the crucial state and has been able to shake more hands and meet more voters directly in the buckeye state. neil: you mentioned this appearance tomorrow with governor chris christie. i'm sure not governor's intention to praise the president to point that many say he hurt the republican nominee mitt romney. but governor kristy looking...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. ob
but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by...
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lou: real clear politics does something interesting, compare, poll, polls for today, that poll to 2004, 2008, 2008, at this juncture, president then senator obama was running six and a half points ahead of senator mccain, in 2004, bush had a one and aal point lead on senator kerry, is that instructive or just sort of an amusing glimpse at history. >> political junkies, heard those were margins of 2004, and 8 for those who like to say national polling does not amount to much this is accurate. it is the state by state polls, that is less productive. but i make a basic point about the storm, i know a lot of democrats, if you go to liberal blogs, they are all holding hands, say it will be okay, they are trying to make a political point to of the way that president is responding to the hurricane. the average american, looks at what happened on east coast, they see a human tragedy, they do not see a political proving ground, all these dc pundits who are trying to make a political moment out of obama in new jersey or oba reaction, they are so disconnected from the way thatmerican people are e
lou: real clear politics does something interesting, compare, poll, polls for today, that poll to 2004, 2008, 2008, at this juncture, president then senator obama was running six and a half points ahead of senator mccain, in 2004, bush had a one and aal point lead on senator kerry, is that instructive or just sort of an amusing glimpse at history. >> political junkies, heard those were margins of 2004, and 8 for those who like to say national polling does not amount to much this is...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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WMAR
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but three new polls in key battleground states has president obama on top. it's now all hands on deck. vice president biden stumped in iowa. >> the american people are asking themselves the question in the final days, who can they trust? >> reporter: bill clinton is working just as hard as the candidates. >> barack obama should be the next president. >> reporter: and in ohio, ann romney got emotional as she asked for votes. >> we have come to know this country on such an extraordinary level. and i can't even tell you how much i love it. >> reporter: yesterday, new york city mayor michael bloomberg endorsed president obama. the independent mayor has been critical of the president and mitt romney. but he says sandy changed his thinking. and that president obama will take action on climate change. rob and sunny, back to you. >> karen, thanks a lot. tuesday night, let abc be your place for live up-to-the-minute results with george stephanopoulos and diane sawyer. >>> the former president of penn state has been charged with a cover-up in the jerry sandusky scanda
but three new polls in key battleground states has president obama on top. it's now all hands on deck. vice president biden stumped in iowa. >> the american people are asking themselves the question in the final days, who can they trust? >> reporter: bill clinton is working just as hard as the candidates. >> barack obama should be the next president. >> reporter: and in ohio, ann romney got emotional as she asked for votes. >> we have come to know this country on...
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i believe president obama has a better ground game, and get out the vote. lou: then why doesn't he get to 30 votes to members of 2008? >> his people are not motivated but they can be brought to the polls. he is counting on those that show what will vote and it will make the difference. i am not saying i am right and you're wrong. lou: i am right to. [laughter] thirteen were with the simple solution find out the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50% annual bonus. and everyone likes 50% more [ russian accent ] rubles. eh, eheh, eh, eh. [ brooklyn accent ] 50% more simoleons. [ western accent ] 50% more sawbucks. ♪ [ maine accent ] 50% more clams. it's a lobster, either way. [ male ancer ] the capital one cash rewards card. with a 50% annual cash bonus, it's the card for people who like more cash. [ italian accent ] 50% more dough! what's in your wallet? lou: john e-mailed us to say: a very good idea.
i believe president obama has a better ground game, and get out the vote. lou: then why doesn't he get to 30 votes to members of 2008? >> his people are not motivated but they can be brought to the polls. he is counting on those that show what will vote and it will make the difference. i am not saying i am right and you're wrong. lou: i am right to. [laughter] thirteen were with the simple solution find out the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50% annual bonus. and everyone likes...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and mitt romney 231. earlier today, chris matthews sat down for an exclusive with vice president joe biden. >> what do you think is going to happen? >> i think we're going to win. i don't think it's going to be close in the electoral college. i think we're going to win clearly and i think we're going to win this state, ohio. i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. >> joining me from the battleground s
in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and mitt romney 231. earlier today, chris matthews sat down for an exclusive with vice president joe...
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Oct 31, 2012
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and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on i
and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollster, neil newhouse, was saying that he doesn't buy some of these national polls, because he was just pointing out that the quinnipiac "new york times" poll, and said that was weighted more heavily toward registered voters than likely voters and thought that it sort of overshowed a little bit of enthusiasm for democrats, and i keep hearing this over and over again, from republicans, chris, and that is, they don't believe that obama voters will turn out as much as the obama campaign expects. these sides do believe very different thi
the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was...
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nbc/"wall street journal" poll. iowa gave president obama his first big victory. he ends his campaign tomorrow night in iowa. and let's look at new hampshire, a state very important to mitt romney. that's where he launched his campaign about a year and a half ago. it's dead even according to a granite state poll. we saw it pretty much all tied up in an nbc/wall street maris poll. where does mitt romney wrap up his campaign? new hampshire. >> we wanted an exciting race. we got one, don't you think? >> yes, we did, yes, we did. >> we saw the latest polls in iowa and new hampshire. both of those states are on mitt romney's calendar in the last two days. today romney starts out in des moines, iowa, cleveland, ohio, then newport, virginia. revenge was the topic with all new talking points this weekend during their final stretch. >> you know, at the time the republican congress, any senate candidate by the name of mitt romney -- [ booing ] >> no, no, no. don't boo. vote. vote. vote. voting's the best revenge. >> yesterday the president said something you may have alread
nbc/"wall street journal" poll. iowa gave president obama his first big victory. he ends his campaign tomorrow night in iowa. and let's look at new hampshire, a state very important to mitt romney. that's where he launched his campaign about a year and a half ago. it's dead even according to a granite state poll. we saw it pretty much all tied up in an nbc/wall street maris poll. where does mitt romney wrap up his campaign? new hampshire. >> we wanted an exciting race. we got...
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i thought president obama was very strong in the firs 48 hours. it appeared that everything was going well. that this was being dealt with very confidently and getting relief to the people that neededed. you saw governor christie said and several people were dealing with the storm. that was the first 48 hours. now, we are finding the last 72 hours the people i talk to in new jersey and you showed the devastation of stat island, they are not getting the relief. where the fema and where is the federal governmental and help that is promised? people are saying it is not there. there is no electricity, there is no gasoline. in many ses there is no drinking water. >> neil: you and i sxi can emember with katrina, big difference in variety of levels. it was the same immediate response that things were under control. the famous heck of a job brownie comment that prompted the initial view, things are under control and not so bad. then we started getting the images, we started seeing more and more. it was not under control. we're seeing the initial response
i thought president obama was very strong in the firs 48 hours. it appeared that everything was going well. that this was being dealt with very confidently and getting relief to the people that neededed. you saw governor christie said and several people were dealing with the storm. that was the first 48 hours. now, we are finding the last 72 hours the people i talk to in new jersey and you showed the devastation of stat island, they are not getting the relief. where the fema and where is the...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first responders to focus on that. i appreciate it. the president is doing the same thing tomorrow. you mentioned the post poll. there are two other polls, both rasmussen and fox, that have romney up by two. it's margin of error. it's close, and it's going to come down to turn out the last undecided voters. i think why romney will win virginia is because he is the one that's going to reverse these sequestration cuts. they're going to devastate the military and cost us $200,000 jobs. the president has been a bystander and won't do that. he is the one with the plan to create jobs and we've got 23 m
new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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number of polls. both the romney-ryan ticket and obama-biden ticket, tied 46-46. this is a squeaker, folks. that number really has not changed much over the last 30 days. when we break that down among independent voters which is a lot of focus is on, you have governor romney ahead of this key voting bloc by 7%. as you can see president obama made gains with independents since october as well. his number has gone from 32 to 39. let's bring in some of our favorite experts, doug schoen, former pollster to president bill clinton. monica crowley, radio talk show host and both are fox news contributors. five days to go, this thing is so tight. if people aren't talking about sandy they're talking about who they think will win this thing. quick initial thought from you both and then i want to cruise through some of these polls. doug, where do we stand? >> oh, i think we are suggest that we're in a tie. the swing state data showing ever so slight obama lead, within the margin of error. ohio couple points up. t
number of polls. both the romney-ryan ticket and obama-biden ticket, tied 46-46. this is a squeaker, folks. that number really has not changed much over the last 30 days. when we break that down among independent voters which is a lot of focus is on, you have governor romney ahead of this key voting bloc by 7%. as you can see president obama made gains with independents since october as well. his number has gone from 32 to 39. let's bring in some of our favorite experts, doug schoen, former...
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the poll in the state of colorado, the new international poll shows 15% of likely polls backing obama. that's within the sampling number. 49-45, also within the margin of error. now today, governor romney's camp said he will campaign in pennsylvania on sunday. they claimed the deep blue key stone state is in play. they said the same thing in a memo but didn't cite any particular data. the obama campaign called it a sign of desperation on their part. joining me now with the raw politics, chief white house correspondent, jessica yellin, and jim acosta and correspondent john king. >> the storm has been a real curveball for candidates. how has mitt romney been handling transitioning back to regular campaign mode? does he feel that it may have stopped his momentum? >> what we saw earlier from mitt romney, he went back on offense. after dialing back his criticism of president obama in the immediate aftermath of superstorm sandy, he went on the attack. he ridiculed the idea for the secretary and he unleashed this ad. a spanish language tv ad that linked president obama to hugo chavez and the
the poll in the state of colorado, the new international poll shows 15% of likely polls backing obama. that's within the sampling number. 49-45, also within the margin of error. now today, governor romney's camp said he will campaign in pennsylvania on sunday. they claimed the deep blue key stone state is in play. they said the same thing in a memo but didn't cite any particular data. the obama campaign called it a sign of desperation on their part. joining me now with the raw politics, chief...